Race 8A

mt-hope-bay

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Alp Rodopman 16.1% 13.5% 16.8% 12.8% 10.2% 10.8% 7.1% 5.6% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Dylan DiMarchi 12.3% 13.5% 13.0% 11.8% 11.9% 9.5% 9.0% 7.9% 5.6% 3.8% 1.4% 0.3%
Ryan Gershuny 3.7% 3.0% 2.4% 3.5% 5.4% 5.0% 5.3% 6.8% 10.8% 14.3% 21.8% 18.0%
John Mastrandrea 9.8% 11.9% 9.8% 11.9% 10.3% 11.1% 10.4% 10.0% 6.2% 4.0% 4.0% 0.6%
Sean Beaulieu 6.7% 8.3% 7.4% 9.3% 9.3% 10.0% 11.4% 9.2% 9.7% 9.5% 6.0% 3.2%
Kimberly Morecraft 5.1% 5.5% 6.0% 6.1% 6.3% 6.4% 9.3% 12.5% 11.0% 14.4% 11.7% 5.7%
Andrew Widmeier 10.5% 10.0% 11.2% 11.1% 10.2% 9.1% 10.6% 9.3% 7.0% 6.8% 2.7% 1.5%
Joshua Stone 2.4% 4.0% 3.4% 4.2% 3.4% 6.1% 5.1% 8.6% 11.9% 11.7% 19.3% 19.9%
Erin Coyne 1.1% 1.8% 1.4% 1.7% 2.8% 3.2% 4.3% 6.0% 7.3% 11.1% 18.2% 41.1%
Julia Leighton 5.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.4% 5.9% 7.7% 9.0% 9.8% 13.7% 13.4% 10.0% 8.1%
Spencer Cartwright 16.8% 16.1% 13.5% 11.1% 12.2% 10.1% 9.1% 4.4% 3.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.5%
Julien Guiot 10.0% 7.4% 9.6% 10.1% 12.1% 11.0% 9.4% 9.9% 8.7% 7.3% 3.5% 1.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.