Race 9A

mt-hope-bay

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Dylan DiMarchi 12.9% 12.7% 12.4% 10.3% 11.6% 9.7% 8.4% 8.6% 6.9% 3.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.0%
Andrew Widmeier 9.7% 9.8% 10.1% 9.4% 10.5% 11.9% 8.6% 8.6% 8.3% 5.9% 4.4% 2.0% 0.8%
Sean Beaulieu 5.8% 6.0% 8.9% 8.3% 9.9% 9.6% 9.3% 9.9% 9.8% 10.3% 7.1% 4.1% 1.0%
Nicholas Orsoni-Wiemer 1.9% 2.4% 2.2% 3.6% 4.4% 4.2% 6.3% 5.7% 8.2% 9.1% 13.3% 18.7% 20.0%
Julien Guiot 9.2% 10.2% 10.1% 9.5% 10.4% 9.6% 9.7% 8.3% 9.8% 5.7% 3.6% 2.9% 1.0%
John Mastrandrea 10.7% 10.5% 10.8% 11.0% 11.5% 9.0% 10.5% 8.4% 6.1% 6.2% 3.2% 1.6% 0.5%
Joshua Stone 3.5% 2.9% 3.3% 3.9% 4.0% 5.4% 4.9% 6.9% 7.6% 10.4% 15.8% 17.8% 13.6%
Ryan Gershuny 2.4% 3.5% 4.2% 3.0% 3.2% 3.4% 6.2% 8.7% 8.4% 12.1% 13.9% 16.7% 14.3%
Spencer Cartwright 15.8% 16.6% 14.6% 11.2% 10.8% 9.5% 7.9% 5.7% 4.3% 1.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Alp Rodopman 17.4% 16.0% 12.3% 13.2% 8.8% 8.8% 9.7% 4.8% 4.2% 2.9% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Kimberly Morecraft 4.8% 4.8% 5.1% 7.9% 7.2% 7.2% 9.4% 10.3% 11.1% 10.7% 9.2% 8.0% 4.3%
Julia Leighton 4.6% 3.5% 4.2% 6.7% 6.3% 7.9% 6.2% 10.1% 9.7% 12.8% 13.4% 8.6% 6.0%
Erin Coyne 1.3% 1.1% 1.8% 2.0% 1.4% 3.8% 2.9% 4.0% 5.6% 9.1% 11.0% 17.7% 38.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.