Race 1B

mt-hope-bay

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Aaron Klein 6.5% 7.4% 7.7% 7.7% 8.6% 9.7% 10.0% 9.6% 10.0% 10.4% 8.1% 4.3%
Riley Read 12.4% 14.2% 11.9% 13.4% 11.9% 9.6% 8.2% 7.1% 5.4% 3.3% 2.2% 0.4%
Nicholas Giacobbe 6.7% 6.3% 6.1% 6.9% 8.4% 8.9% 7.6% 9.9% 12.2% 12.7% 8.4% 5.9%
Claire Huebner 17.5% 17.3% 14.2% 13.5% 11.2% 7.3% 7.9% 4.3% 3.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Arthur Milot 3.9% 4.6% 5.2% 5.8% 7.0% 6.7% 8.1% 9.8% 9.0% 12.6% 14.7% 12.6%
Nathan Borovick 5.7% 5.6% 6.3% 6.5% 7.3% 7.8% 9.2% 10.3% 12.1% 11.1% 11.6% 6.5%
Jennifer Killian 7.3% 7.6% 7.2% 7.9% 8.3% 9.7% 8.9% 9.3% 10.3% 8.2% 9.5% 5.8%
Gabriel Hannon 12.7% 10.6% 11.5% 10.8% 10.0% 9.7% 10.3% 7.9% 6.7% 5.0% 3.3% 1.5%
Phillip Rosenthall 2.0% 2.5% 3.9% 4.8% 5.1% 5.6% 7.1% 7.9% 9.6% 13.0% 16.8% 21.7%
Caelan Juckniess 9.6% 9.4% 11.3% 8.3% 8.6% 11.6% 9.0% 10.5% 7.3% 8.3% 4.5% 1.6%
Romain Astie 2.7% 1.3% 1.8% 2.7% 2.9% 4.0% 3.5% 5.6% 8.1% 10.1% 18.2% 39.1%
Rebecca Read 13.0% 13.2% 12.9% 11.7% 10.7% 9.4% 10.2% 7.8% 5.5% 3.3% 1.8% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.