Race 2B

mt-hope-bay

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Claire Huebner 17.2% 16.5% 14.7% 13.5% 10.5% 8.1% 7.8% 3.9% 4.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
Riley Read 12.9% 13.9% 13.3% 10.9% 11.4% 9.4% 7.7% 8.0% 5.8% 4.2% 2.0% 0.5%
Phillip Rosenthall 4.0% 2.9% 3.3% 4.0% 4.7% 4.8% 5.6% 6.2% 9.7% 12.0% 18.9% 23.9%
Caelan Juckniess 8.8% 9.7% 8.1% 12.5% 8.9% 9.9% 9.5% 9.4% 9.8% 5.4% 5.7% 2.3%
Aaron Klein 6.9% 7.9% 8.2% 8.1% 8.3% 9.5% 8.7% 10.0% 10.0% 9.3% 8.5% 4.6%
Jennifer Killian 6.8% 6.3% 8.2% 6.5% 7.4% 9.4% 9.1% 9.8% 11.9% 10.2% 9.2% 5.2%
Romain Astie 2.5% 2.4% 2.3% 3.0% 3.6% 4.4% 4.5% 5.3% 8.0% 10.2% 16.1% 37.7%
Nathan Borovick 6.9% 5.9% 6.9% 5.8% 7.9% 8.8% 9.2% 8.9% 9.0% 12.6% 10.8% 7.3%
Arthur Milot 4.1% 4.0% 4.8% 6.4% 6.2% 8.3% 8.4% 10.6% 9.3% 15.0% 12.1% 10.8%
Gabriel Hannon 10.6% 11.7% 11.8% 10.9% 11.3% 9.5% 10.2% 8.3% 6.4% 5.0% 3.1% 1.2%
Rebecca Read 12.6% 13.2% 13.1% 11.0% 11.2% 9.3% 10.1% 7.9% 5.6% 3.1% 2.2% 0.7%
Nicholas Giacobbe 6.7% 5.6% 5.3% 7.4% 8.6% 8.6% 9.2% 11.7% 9.9% 10.9% 10.6% 5.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.