Race 3B

mt-hope-bay

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Claire Huebner 16.8% 15.4% 16.6% 13.5% 10.4% 7.9% 8.0% 5.2% 2.5% 2.3% 1.2% 0.2%
Gabriel Hannon 10.4% 11.3% 12.4% 10.0% 11.9% 9.9% 9.0% 7.2% 7.9% 5.2% 3.6% 1.2%
Caelan Juckniess 10.0% 8.5% 9.6% 10.4% 9.3% 9.4% 10.1% 10.3% 9.5% 6.7% 4.6% 1.6%
Jennifer Killian 5.4% 6.6% 7.6% 9.1% 8.4% 9.2% 8.4% 12.5% 8.4% 11.1% 7.7% 5.6%
Aaron Klein 6.8% 8.0% 8.0% 7.3% 9.6% 8.6% 9.5% 10.9% 8.2% 9.6% 7.7% 5.8%
Phillip Rosenthall 3.2% 2.8% 3.2% 4.9% 5.3% 4.1% 5.2% 7.4% 10.3% 12.1% 18.3% 23.2%
Riley Read 13.4% 16.3% 12.2% 11.4% 8.6% 10.8% 9.5% 6.2% 5.4% 3.6% 2.0% 0.6%
Nicholas Giacobbe 7.9% 6.2% 6.6% 8.0% 7.3% 8.6% 9.7% 9.2% 10.8% 9.7% 8.5% 7.5%
Romain Astie 1.8% 1.9% 2.6% 1.8% 2.8% 4.9% 4.2% 6.5% 8.6% 11.3% 18.1% 35.5%
Arthur Milot 4.8% 5.3% 5.0% 5.0% 6.5% 7.8% 7.6% 7.5% 12.1% 13.5% 13.7% 11.2%
Rebecca Read 13.5% 12.6% 11.9% 11.4% 11.7% 10.2% 8.9% 7.7% 5.3% 3.9% 2.1% 0.8%
Nathan Borovick 6.0% 5.1% 4.3% 7.2% 8.2% 8.6% 9.9% 9.4% 11.0% 11.0% 12.5% 6.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.