Race 4B

mt-hope-bay

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Claire Huebner 16.6% 16.5% 13.9% 14.1% 11.1% 9.7% 6.2% 4.5% 4.0% 2.5% 0.5% 0.4%
Gabriel Hannon 10.4% 11.4% 11.7% 10.9% 11.2% 9.1% 9.5% 9.2% 6.9% 5.5% 3.3% 0.9%
Aaron Klein 8.8% 5.3% 6.9% 9.1% 7.4% 9.8% 9.3% 11.7% 10.1% 10.0% 7.6% 4.0%
Riley Read 11.3% 13.8% 13.6% 12.4% 12.0% 9.8% 7.5% 6.9% 5.9% 4.2% 2.1% 0.5%
Rebecca Read 14.3% 13.2% 12.9% 11.7% 10.4% 10.2% 8.8% 5.6% 5.4% 4.1% 2.4% 1.0%
Nathan Borovick 4.9% 6.9% 6.7% 5.7% 7.2% 7.5% 9.8% 10.1% 10.2% 12.3% 11.3% 7.4%
Romain Astie 2.4% 2.6% 2.9% 2.6% 3.3% 4.0% 4.4% 7.0% 6.7% 10.1% 17.1% 36.9%
Nicholas Giacobbe 7.3% 5.8% 7.6% 6.4% 8.4% 8.2% 9.2% 10.0% 10.7% 11.5% 9.2% 5.7%
Caelan Juckniess 9.2% 9.3% 10.9% 11.2% 10.2% 10.1% 10.2% 9.6% 8.7% 4.7% 4.2% 1.7%
Arthur Milot 5.4% 4.8% 3.9% 5.8% 6.5% 6.8% 8.0% 8.8% 12.0% 10.5% 14.6% 12.9%
Jennifer Killian 6.2% 6.4% 6.2% 7.3% 8.1% 9.8% 9.7% 9.6% 10.5% 11.7% 9.1% 5.4%
Phillip Rosenthall 3.2% 4.0% 2.8% 2.8% 4.2% 5.0% 7.4% 7.0% 8.9% 12.9% 18.6% 23.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.