Race 5B

mt-hope-bay

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Claire Huebner 20.5% 17.1% 15.6% 12.5% 10.8% 7.4% 6.2% 3.7% 3.3% 1.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Nicholas Giacobbe 5.5% 7.9% 7.6% 9.5% 7.6% 8.3% 9.9% 9.8% 10.3% 10.0% 8.8% 4.8%
Aaron Klein 9.2% 7.7% 8.1% 8.5% 7.8% 10.1% 9.8% 10.0% 9.8% 8.7% 6.7% 3.6%
Gabriel Hannon 11.3% 14.4% 12.1% 10.9% 10.7% 9.6% 8.6% 8.2% 6.1% 4.4% 2.8% 0.9%
Jennifer Killian 7.2% 8.3% 8.3% 7.7% 9.0% 8.9% 9.0% 9.4% 9.5% 9.8% 7.6% 5.3%
Caelan Juckniess 11.1% 11.0% 8.5% 11.3% 10.8% 8.6% 9.9% 9.5% 8.1% 5.9% 3.5% 1.8%
Arthur Milot 5.6% 5.3% 5.9% 6.0% 8.2% 7.2% 7.1% 9.2% 10.5% 11.6% 13.4% 10.0%
Phillip Rosenthall 4.2% 4.3% 4.0% 5.6% 4.0% 5.2% 6.2% 7.3% 9.1% 10.9% 18.0% 21.2%
Paul de Souza 6.3% 6.8% 10.0% 9.1% 9.9% 9.9% 10.2% 9.2% 8.9% 8.4% 7.3% 4.0%
Kyle Nannig 9.7% 9.6% 11.2% 9.2% 10.0% 10.6% 9.0% 9.3% 8.2% 6.2% 4.3% 2.7%
Romain Astie 2.6% 1.7% 1.8% 2.5% 3.9% 4.4% 5.6% 4.5% 6.7% 10.1% 16.9% 39.3%
Nathan Borovick 6.8% 5.9% 6.9% 7.2% 7.3% 9.8% 8.5% 9.9% 9.5% 12.2% 9.7% 6.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.