Race 6B

mt-hope-bay

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Paul de Souza 7.4% 6.3% 8.3% 8.1% 7.9% 10.0% 10.1% 9.3% 11.0% 7.7% 9.2% 4.7%
Arthur Milot 4.0% 4.7% 6.1% 6.7% 8.3% 6.7% 7.2% 8.1% 11.6% 13.4% 12.6% 10.6%
Claire Huebner 21.1% 17.7% 14.6% 11.2% 11.1% 9.3% 5.9% 4.4% 2.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Kyle Nannig 8.4% 10.8% 10.8% 10.7% 9.4% 9.8% 10.6% 8.9% 6.3% 6.7% 5.6% 2.0%
Caelan Juckniess 9.8% 12.9% 11.0% 9.8% 9.2% 10.4% 7.0% 10.1% 6.6% 5.9% 5.4% 1.9%
Jennifer Killian 8.4% 6.3% 8.0% 7.7% 8.9% 9.1% 9.5% 10.4% 9.3% 9.9% 7.8% 4.7%
Gabriel Hannon 13.2% 14.1% 12.0% 12.2% 10.0% 8.2% 9.0% 6.7% 6.2% 5.3% 2.2% 0.9%
Phillip Rosenthall 4.0% 4.2% 4.3% 3.6% 5.9% 5.4% 6.7% 8.0% 8.8% 11.8% 16.3% 21.0%
Nicholas Giacobbe 6.4% 6.6% 8.5% 9.5% 9.9% 9.1% 9.1% 10.5% 9.6% 8.7% 7.2% 4.9%
Nathan Borovick 7.3% 6.3% 6.8% 8.0% 6.5% 8.8% 10.3% 9.8% 9.1% 11.9% 8.4% 6.8%
Romain Astie 2.3% 2.4% 1.5% 2.9% 4.4% 3.2% 4.9% 5.1% 7.6% 9.2% 17.5% 39.0%
Aaron Klein 7.7% 7.7% 8.1% 9.6% 8.5% 10.0% 9.7% 8.7% 11.3% 8.0% 7.3% 3.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.