Race 7B

mt-hope-bay

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gabriel Hannon 12.9% 10.2% 12.3% 11.5% 11.4% 10.7% 10.2% 6.1% 6.1% 4.4% 2.8% 1.4%
Jennifer Killian 6.1% 9.1% 7.7% 9.6% 8.7% 7.9% 10.0% 10.0% 11.1% 8.2% 7.5% 4.1%
Claire Huebner 21.4% 15.5% 16.9% 11.0% 11.9% 8.7% 5.9% 4.0% 2.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Nicholas Giacobbe 6.0% 6.7% 7.9% 8.0% 9.4% 8.2% 10.1% 9.9% 10.1% 7.3% 10.6% 5.8%
Aaron Klein 7.7% 8.7% 9.3% 7.8% 9.7% 9.5% 8.3% 9.9% 9.4% 8.6% 7.0% 4.1%
Arthur Milot 5.3% 5.0% 5.8% 7.1% 4.2% 6.8% 8.9% 9.1% 10.0% 13.7% 13.8% 10.3%
Caelan Juckniess 10.8% 13.1% 10.6% 10.7% 8.2% 10.5% 9.4% 8.6% 6.5% 6.6% 3.2% 1.8%
Kyle Nannig 11.2% 10.2% 10.5% 9.6% 9.7% 8.9% 8.9% 9.5% 7.7% 6.4% 4.8% 2.6%
Nathan Borovick 5.4% 6.1% 8.4% 8.7% 8.7% 9.3% 9.5% 8.8% 10.4% 10.7% 8.5% 5.5%
Paul de Souza 7.8% 8.0% 6.7% 9.3% 8.9% 9.1% 9.1% 9.5% 10.0% 9.5% 7.3% 4.8%
Romain Astie 2.0% 3.0% 1.6% 2.9% 4.2% 3.6% 4.2% 6.0% 6.2% 11.6% 16.1% 38.6%
Phillip Rosenthall 3.4% 4.4% 2.3% 3.8% 5.0% 6.8% 5.5% 8.6% 10.1% 11.3% 17.9% 20.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.