Race 8B

mt-hope-bay

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Arthur Milot 4.3% 5.4% 5.4% 5.5% 6.8% 8.2% 7.9% 8.5% 9.9% 11.9% 14.8% 11.4%
Caelan Juckniess 9.2% 11.2% 11.4% 11.7% 8.5% 9.8% 10.3% 8.8% 6.9% 7.2% 3.8% 1.2%
Gabriel Hannon 13.0% 11.9% 11.4% 12.0% 12.1% 7.7% 9.7% 8.4% 6.1% 4.3% 2.2% 1.2%
Claire Huebner 20.7% 17.6% 16.2% 11.8% 10.6% 6.9% 6.4% 4.8% 2.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Kyle Nannig 10.1% 10.6% 8.9% 10.7% 10.0% 10.0% 7.7% 9.5% 7.4% 7.6% 5.0% 2.5%
Paul de Souza 7.8% 7.0% 7.2% 7.8% 9.1% 9.6% 9.1% 8.9% 11.0% 10.1% 7.6% 4.8%
Nicholas Giacobbe 7.8% 7.5% 8.2% 8.6% 8.3% 9.4% 7.3% 8.3% 11.5% 9.5% 8.6% 5.0%
Romain Astie 2.9% 3.0% 3.8% 2.4% 3.9% 4.1% 4.7% 7.6% 6.4% 7.7% 17.2% 36.3%
Jennifer Killian 6.4% 7.6% 8.9% 9.5% 9.4% 9.8% 10.9% 9.4% 9.5% 8.2% 6.1% 4.3%
Nathan Borovick 7.6% 5.6% 6.9% 8.2% 7.9% 7.5% 9.8% 9.6% 10.4% 10.0% 9.5% 7.0%
Aaron Klein 6.9% 7.8% 9.3% 8.7% 8.1% 11.0% 9.8% 8.2% 8.3% 10.3% 7.2% 4.4%
Phillip Rosenthall 3.3% 4.8% 2.4% 3.1% 5.3% 6.0% 6.4% 8.0% 10.2% 11.7% 17.2% 21.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.