Race 9B

mt-hope-bay

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nicholas Giacobbe 7.0% 5.8% 5.9% 10.8% 7.5% 9.1% 7.5% 9.9% 8.0% 10.3% 7.9% 6.7% 3.6%
Caelan Juckniess 10.1% 8.9% 10.3% 11.7% 10.9% 9.2% 8.3% 8.7% 6.3% 6.7% 4.2% 3.7% 1.0%
Aaron Klein 6.0% 8.2% 9.3% 7.3% 11.4% 8.0% 9.6% 9.8% 8.2% 7.1% 7.9% 4.9% 2.3%
Claire Huebner 19.5% 18.8% 15.4% 10.2% 9.6% 9.2% 6.5% 4.4% 3.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Kyle Nannig 9.8% 10.4% 10.1% 9.4% 9.9% 9.0% 8.9% 9.1% 8.5% 6.1% 4.2% 3.4% 1.2%
Paul de Souza 7.6% 7.2% 7.5% 8.8% 8.6% 8.9% 8.1% 9.6% 8.6% 7.7% 7.6% 6.6% 3.2%
Nathan Borovick 7.6% 6.7% 6.7% 6.6% 7.4% 7.4% 9.7% 7.0% 10.4% 8.9% 9.0% 7.5% 5.1%
Romain Astie 2.2% 3.0% 2.9% 2.8% 3.1% 3.9% 4.4% 5.4% 6.3% 8.1% 12.4% 17.2% 28.3%
Arthur Milot 5.2% 4.3% 5.2% 5.6% 5.2% 8.8% 7.7% 6.8% 8.5% 11.8% 12.4% 8.9% 9.6%
Nathan Drezner 3.0% 3.5% 3.3% 2.6% 4.2% 4.5% 5.6% 6.0% 7.1% 9.4% 11.3% 15.5% 24.0%
Gabriel Hannon 13.4% 13.6% 10.6% 11.9% 10.6% 9.8% 9.2% 7.1% 5.2% 3.8% 2.5% 1.5% 0.8%
Jennifer Killian 6.3% 6.4% 8.7% 8.3% 7.9% 6.9% 8.6% 9.2% 9.5% 9.5% 7.8% 6.7% 4.2%
Phillip Rosenthall 2.3% 3.2% 4.1% 4.0% 3.7% 5.3% 5.9% 7.0% 9.9% 8.9% 12.3% 16.9% 16.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.