Race 7A

penobscot-bay

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Dakota Northrup 12.0% 12.9% 11.0% 10.8% 9.8% 9.7% 8.6% 6.9% 5.0% 5.8% 3.9% 2.0% 1.3% 0.3%
Nick Digiovanni 9.7% 9.5% 8.9% 8.3% 9.2% 8.1% 8.2% 10.1% 9.1% 7.4% 4.6% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6%
Jackson Hamilton 7.5% 8.0% 8.0% 8.1% 6.5% 7.9% 7.7% 9.8% 8.9% 8.3% 10.1% 5.5% 2.9% 0.8%
Sam Alexander 7.3% 9.6% 10.8% 8.3% 8.2% 10.1% 9.4% 7.2% 7.3% 7.7% 7.6% 4.4% 1.8% 0.3%
Josh Dochoda 8.2% 10.4% 9.3% 11.0% 8.4% 9.4% 8.6% 8.1% 7.6% 8.1% 5.4% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5%
Jack McGraw 9.9% 9.8% 9.8% 10.7% 10.5% 9.1% 8.7% 7.9% 6.8% 5.6% 5.6% 4.1% 1.3% 0.2%
Cameron Holley 14.7% 15.1% 12.6% 10.7% 11.1% 8.9% 7.6% 6.4% 5.4% 3.0% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Colin Richards 5.3% 3.9% 5.4% 5.0% 5.4% 5.6% 6.4% 7.3% 8.4% 9.9% 11.5% 12.8% 10.0% 3.1%
Alexander Vasiliou 6.5% 5.3% 5.9% 6.2% 7.1% 7.7% 8.7% 9.6% 9.6% 10.4% 10.3% 7.4% 3.8% 1.5%
Walter Florio 8.4% 6.5% 8.7% 9.1% 9.1% 8.2% 8.5% 8.6% 9.2% 8.2% 6.8% 6.9% 1.2% 0.6%
James Peraire-Bueno 3.1% 3.1% 2.6% 4.5% 4.3% 5.7% 6.0% 6.8% 7.3% 8.6% 12.9% 16.5% 13.9% 4.7%
Frank Reeg 5.0% 4.8% 5.5% 5.3% 7.2% 6.8% 8.6% 8.3% 9.1% 10.6% 8.5% 11.2% 7.2% 1.9%
Amy Macdonald 1.6% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 1.4% 1.3% 1.2% 1.7% 2.9% 3.2% 4.0% 10.2% 24.9% 45.5%
Noah Brayer 0.8% 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 1.8% 1.3% 3.4% 3.2% 6.0% 9.9% 27.9% 39.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.