Race 2B

penobscot-bay

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Rachel Foster 8.6% 8.9% 10.3% 8.8% 8.1% 11.0% 9.7% 8.0% 8.0% 7.3% 4.9% 4.3% 1.8% 0.3%
Alden Grimes 17.8% 14.8% 14.2% 13.6% 11.5% 8.0% 7.4% 4.8% 3.1% 2.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Jackson McCoy 19.7% 19.0% 14.6% 12.1% 9.4% 8.5% 6.7% 4.4% 3.3% 0.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Chris Colbeth 2.6% 4.2% 3.6% 4.7% 5.8% 6.0% 6.9% 7.5% 9.0% 9.5% 11.8% 13.8% 12.0% 2.6%
Dylan Farrell 7.4% 9.1% 10.7% 10.3% 10.6% 8.5% 9.7% 7.5% 8.5% 7.5% 4.5% 3.8% 1.8% 0.1%
Kyle Dochoda 11.2% 10.9% 11.4% 10.7% 10.4% 10.1% 9.4% 8.0% 6.2% 5.8% 2.7% 2.1% 1.0% 0.1%
Peter Girard 5.8% 7.4% 5.9% 7.0% 7.1% 7.5% 8.1% 9.5% 8.6% 10.7% 9.4% 8.8% 3.3% 0.9%
Maxwell Eberstadt-Beattie 3.7% 3.5% 3.8% 5.0% 4.7% 5.0% 6.6% 6.8% 8.0% 10.0% 11.3% 14.4% 14.2% 3.0%
Joseph Chamberlin 4.3% 2.6% 3.6% 4.0% 5.2% 5.6% 6.2% 9.2% 9.4% 10.7% 12.6% 12.0% 12.3% 2.3%
Emilia Clementi 5.6% 5.7% 6.2% 6.9% 8.0% 8.7% 9.1% 9.8% 11.2% 8.3% 8.4% 8.7% 3.0% 0.4%
Charles Hicks 5.0% 5.4% 5.2% 6.3% 7.2% 8.4% 6.8% 9.0% 9.9% 10.5% 11.5% 7.7% 6.2% 0.9%
Alexander Bowen 5.8% 6.9% 8.2% 8.6% 8.9% 9.7% 8.8% 10.3% 8.4% 8.4% 6.5% 5.8% 3.2% 0.5%
Jack Eberhardt 2.3% 1.4% 2.1% 1.5% 2.7% 2.6% 3.6% 4.3% 5.7% 6.5% 12.0% 14.0% 31.9% 9.4%
Carter Goodell 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 1.0% 0.9% 0.7% 1.8% 1.5% 3.7% 9.0% 79.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.