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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.84+6.75vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.56+3.44vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.78+1.84vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+2.33vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.09vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.36+0.17vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.99+0.29vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.11-1.04vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.56-3.50vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.07-2.78vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.87-3.20vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.72-1.63vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University0.55-0.43vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.58-3.56vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.19-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.75Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.44Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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4.84Boston College3.780.1%1st Place
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6.33Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.17Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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7.29Harvard University2.990.1%1st Place
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6.96Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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5.5Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.22Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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7.8University of Rhode Island2.870.1%1st Place
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11.37University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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13.57Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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11.44Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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12.24Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Lodge | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Pesch | 10.1% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christian Manchester | 15.0% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| David Alfonso | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Colin Santangelo | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Bo McClatchy | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| George Saunders | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Hughes | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Presti | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 19.9% | 20.0% | 9.7% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 20.6% | 51.9% |
| Tom Charpentier | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 19.5% | 20.0% | 12.3% |
| Ian Gilchrist | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 16.0% | 26.3% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.