Race 6B

penobscot-bay

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Rachel Foster 8.2% 8.9% 10.4% 9.4% 10.7% 9.6% 9.9% 7.6% 8.4% 6.3% 5.3% 4.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Chris Colbeth 3.6% 4.1% 3.8% 6.9% 5.6% 5.7% 6.4% 7.4% 10.5% 10.4% 14.6% 13.3% 6.8% 0.9%
Kyle Dochoda 12.8% 11.9% 10.4% 11.2% 11.4% 8.0% 8.5% 9.5% 7.3% 4.0% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Jackson McCoy 18.7% 19.8% 13.8% 12.9% 11.3% 8.0% 5.8% 3.9% 4.0% 0.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Girard 4.1% 4.7% 7.0% 6.6% 7.5% 8.9% 7.2% 10.0% 8.9% 11.5% 10.4% 9.9% 2.9% 0.4%
Alden Grimes 15.3% 15.1% 14.9% 12.0% 10.7% 10.0% 6.3% 5.7% 3.9% 4.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Dylan Farrell 11.0% 9.4% 11.2% 10.0% 9.0% 9.7% 10.6% 8.5% 7.4% 5.7% 4.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Emilia Clementi 6.7% 6.5% 8.1% 6.8% 6.7% 9.5% 8.5% 10.7% 7.5% 10.1% 9.0% 7.7% 1.8% 0.4%
Alexander Bowen 6.9% 7.0% 7.8% 7.5% 8.6% 8.8% 11.2% 10.0% 9.7% 9.4% 6.2% 4.9% 1.8% 0.2%
Joseph Chamberlin 3.6% 3.3% 3.2% 3.7% 6.0% 6.8% 7.6% 7.7% 9.6% 10.7% 13.0% 16.3% 6.9% 1.6%
Charles Hicks 5.3% 4.8% 4.7% 7.5% 7.1% 8.4% 7.3% 8.3% 11.5% 11.0% 10.6% 9.5% 3.5% 0.5%
Maxwell Eberstadt-Beattie 2.6% 3.6% 3.8% 4.6% 4.2% 5.4% 8.2% 7.5% 8.6% 11.6% 12.7% 17.0% 8.4% 1.8%
Griffin Brayer 0.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 0.5% 1.9% 2.1% 1.6% 3.5% 5.3% 8.5% 42.8% 30.0%
Carter Goodell 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 1.0% 2.7% 4.4% 23.1% 64.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.