Race 7B

penobscot-bay

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kyle Dochoda 11.0% 12.1% 12.8% 11.2% 10.2% 9.7% 9.7% 7.1% 5.4% 5.0% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Rachel Foster 9.2% 10.8% 8.1% 9.0% 10.2% 8.7% 10.1% 10.9% 7.9% 6.9% 4.5% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Chris Colbeth 4.5% 3.7% 3.6% 4.9% 6.7% 5.3% 5.9% 6.3% 8.6% 13.2% 14.1% 16.0% 5.9% 1.3%
Emilia Clementi 5.7% 5.3% 7.9% 7.8% 8.1% 9.4% 8.9% 10.0% 9.7% 8.2% 9.7% 7.7% 1.4% 0.2%
Maxwell Eberstadt-Beattie 2.9% 2.6% 4.7% 3.9% 4.7% 4.9% 7.6% 7.3% 10.5% 10.2% 13.4% 17.3% 7.9% 2.1%
Charles Hicks 4.7% 5.6% 5.1% 5.8% 7.4% 7.0% 9.4% 9.3% 11.2% 10.2% 9.8% 10.7% 3.2% 0.6%
Alden Grimes 17.3% 16.4% 12.4% 12.5% 11.6% 9.9% 6.8% 5.5% 3.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Chamberlin 4.4% 3.9% 5.1% 5.0% 4.9% 5.4% 6.8% 8.6% 8.3% 12.2% 12.3% 14.4% 7.2% 1.5%
Alexander Bowen 7.2% 6.2% 6.9% 7.8% 9.2% 10.5% 9.4% 9.8% 9.5% 8.8% 8.8% 4.1% 1.8% 0.0%
Jackson McCoy 18.2% 18.1% 16.0% 13.1% 10.7% 8.5% 5.6% 4.7% 2.2% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Dylan Farrell 9.1% 8.6% 10.0% 11.4% 9.0% 9.3% 8.9% 9.3% 8.7% 7.1% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Griffin Brayer 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 1.4% 1.3% 1.5% 1.9% 2.6% 4.3% 9.1% 44.8% 30.0%
Peter Girard 5.4% 5.8% 6.5% 6.5% 6.2% 9.4% 8.7% 9.4% 11.1% 9.9% 9.0% 8.5% 3.2% 0.4%
Carter Goodell 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.3% 1.4% 1.9% 2.5% 4.7% 22.7% 63.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.