Race 8B

penobscot-bay

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Rachel Foster 8.1% 8.9% 10.7% 9.1% 10.4% 9.7% 9.7% 8.4% 7.6% 7.4% 5.1% 3.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Peter Girard 5.1% 6.2% 7.0% 7.9% 7.4% 7.0% 8.9% 9.4% 9.9% 11.3% 9.3% 7.6% 2.9% 0.1%
Alden Grimes 17.3% 16.5% 12.2% 13.0% 10.6% 9.3% 7.7% 4.6% 4.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Kyle Dochoda 10.8% 12.5% 10.8% 11.3% 11.8% 9.6% 7.5% 9.2% 6.7% 5.4% 2.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Jackson McCoy 19.3% 18.3% 14.9% 11.4% 10.9% 8.9% 6.0% 4.7% 2.9% 1.3% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Maxwell Eberstadt-Beattie 3.5% 3.1% 3.6% 3.5% 3.8% 5.2% 7.2% 8.4% 7.8% 12.3% 13.3% 18.0% 8.9% 1.4%
Chris Colbeth 3.2% 4.1% 6.1% 5.3% 5.5% 4.4% 7.4% 8.6% 8.9% 11.7% 12.8% 15.0% 5.9% 1.1%
Charles Hicks 6.0% 5.3% 7.2% 5.1% 7.1% 7.7% 9.3% 7.9% 9.2% 10.0% 11.4% 9.7% 3.6% 0.5%
Dylan Farrell 9.7% 7.9% 9.3% 9.8% 9.6% 11.8% 9.5% 9.0% 8.1% 6.6% 5.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Joseph Chamberlin 3.2% 3.5% 3.1% 5.0% 5.5% 6.2% 7.2% 8.0% 10.1% 10.5% 14.7% 15.0% 6.7% 1.3%
Emilia Clementi 6.7% 5.0% 7.5% 8.1% 7.3% 8.6% 8.5% 8.8% 11.3% 10.0% 8.2% 7.3% 2.1% 0.6%
Alexander Bowen 6.0% 7.5% 6.9% 9.6% 8.8% 9.9% 9.0% 10.0% 9.6% 7.3% 8.0% 5.1% 1.9% 0.4%
Griffin Brayer 0.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 2.0% 2.7% 2.2% 5.2% 7.7% 44.0% 30.1%
Carter Goodell 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.2% 2.5% 5.1% 21.8% 64.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.