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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+2.37vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.53+2.14vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+2.84vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.82+2.14vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.88+4.05vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-0.27vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.87+2.06vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.26+2.77vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia1.57+0.84vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.51+0.21vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia1.34-0.42vs Predicted
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12Hampton University3.02-6.57vs Predicted
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13William and Mary0.87-1.06vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.44-6.94vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.80-2.74vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-0.33-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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4.14Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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5.84U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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6.14Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.05George Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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5.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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10.77Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Virginia1.570.0%1st Place
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10.21Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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10.58University of Virginia1.340.0%1st Place
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5.43Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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11.94William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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7.06University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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12.26Christopher Newport University0.800.0%1st Place
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14.59University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 24.0% | 20.2% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 17.8% | 16.7% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Brill | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mandell | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Lewis Cooper | 9.1% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Paul Hart | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 4.3% |
| Victor Layne | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 2.7% |
| Garrett Levy | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 3.8% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 19.1% | 10.9% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 16.1% | 21.5% | 12.9% |
| Jacob Stoner | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 60.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.