← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.53+2.96vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.81+1.45vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University0.80+8.85vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+1.63vs Predicted
-
5Washington College1.26+5.57vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University2.82-0.04vs Predicted
-
7University of Pennsylvania2.44+0.08vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy2.88-2.41vs Predicted
-
9Hampton University3.02-3.75vs Predicted
-
10University of Virginia1.34+0.42vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University1.88-2.33vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania1.87-3.29vs Predicted
-
13William and Mary0.87-1.32vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University1.51-5.28vs Predicted
-
16University of Maryland-0.33-1.62vs Predicted
-
17University of Virginia0.34-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.96Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
-
3.45Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
-
11.85Christopher Newport University0.800.0%1st Place
-
5.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
-
10.57Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
-
5.96Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
-
7.08University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
-
5.59U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
5.25Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
-
10.42University of Virginia1.340.0%1st Place
-
8.67George Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
-
8.71University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
-
11.68William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
-
9.72Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
-
14.38University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
-
13.09University of Virginia0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 19.1% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 23.7% | 18.5% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 9.6% |
| Lewis Cooper | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Brill | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Levy | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| Samuel Mandell | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Keen Butcher | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 8.3% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| Jacob Stoner | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 16.4% | 53.6% |
| Ian Palmer | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 24.6% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.