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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+2.70vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.81+1.23vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.82+2.60vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.80+7.59vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.33vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.88+2.34vs Predicted
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7Hampton University3.02-1.95vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia1.34+1.89vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.87+2.26vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.87-1.64vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia1.57-2.78vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.44-6.38vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.33+0.07vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.51-5.63vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.26-5.64vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland-0.23-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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3.23Georgetown University3.810.3%1st Place
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5.6Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.59Christopher Newport University0.800.0%1st Place
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5.33U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.34George Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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5.05Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.89University of Virginia1.340.0%1st Place
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11.26William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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8.36University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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9.22University of Virginia1.570.0%1st Place
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6.62University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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14.07University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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9.37Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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10.36Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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13.99St. Mary's College of Maryland-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 20.2% | 17.0% | 17.9% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 25.1% | 21.1% | 17.6% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 7.1% |
| Maxwell Brill | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mandell | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 11.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Levy | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 11.2% | 6.3% |
| Keen Butcher | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Victor Layne | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 21.6% | 41.6% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Paul Hart | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| Noah Chapman | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 26.0% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.