Race 10A

riley-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Kyle Reinecke 20.2% 17.5% 14.5% 11.5% 9.8% 8.3% 5.9% 5.2% 3.0% 1.8% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mason Cook 13.7% 11.3% 12.6% 10.8% 9.7% 9.3% 8.8% 7.5% 6.0% 4.2% 3.1% 2.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Diogo Silva 10.5% 11.6% 11.4% 11.6% 10.7% 9.3% 8.8% 6.9% 6.6% 5.5% 3.0% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Tyler Brown 7.9% 8.3% 8.7% 9.6% 8.9% 8.5% 9.9% 8.2% 7.7% 6.6% 5.9% 5.0% 3.4% 1.2% 0.1%
Leo Robillard 9.2% 9.1% 9.6% 10.3% 7.6% 9.3% 8.8% 8.7% 7.1% 7.5% 5.1% 4.0% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1%
James Lilyquist 5.8% 7.4% 7.0% 6.5% 7.2% 7.5% 7.8% 7.9% 9.6% 8.1% 8.6% 7.1% 5.1% 3.2% 1.1%
Barrett Lhamon 5.7% 5.4% 5.8% 6.6% 8.1% 8.1% 7.8% 9.2% 8.2% 8.5% 9.4% 6.7% 6.2% 3.9% 0.5%
Joshua Bendura 5.5% 5.0% 5.9% 5.9% 6.0% 8.0% 7.4% 8.0% 8.6% 9.4% 9.2% 10.4% 6.0% 3.5% 1.4%
Aston Atherton 4.0% 5.0% 4.3% 4.9% 5.7% 6.6% 6.9% 7.9% 7.8% 9.2% 9.2% 10.5% 9.0% 6.4% 2.8%
Scott Opert 5.8% 6.5% 5.5% 7.1% 8.3% 8.6% 9.0% 8.3% 7.8% 9.5% 7.8% 6.4% 5.3% 3.0% 1.1%
Frank Wildi 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 1.5% 2.4% 1.9% 2.0% 3.0% 3.2% 4.5% 5.9% 8.9% 13.9% 18.4% 30.8%
Miles White 1.6% 1.4% 1.5% 1.6% 2.4% 2.1% 2.6% 2.9% 3.8% 5.3% 7.0% 9.6% 13.4% 18.2% 26.8%
Gianna Dewey 6.0% 6.9% 7.3% 8.0% 7.1% 6.6% 7.1% 9.1% 9.6% 8.5% 8.7% 6.3% 5.2% 2.9% 0.7%
Sophie Grigg 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 2.0% 2.5% 2.8% 3.3% 3.7% 5.3% 5.5% 7.0% 10.3% 13.9% 19.4% 19.6%
Charlotte Stillman 2.0% 1.9% 2.5% 2.2% 3.8% 3.1% 3.7% 3.5% 5.7% 5.9% 8.6% 10.2% 13.7% 18.2% 14.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.