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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+2.14vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.31vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.82+2.54vs Predicted
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4Hampton University3.02+1.07vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.53-1.19vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.87+2.39vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.51+2.49vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia1.57+1.16vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.87+2.30vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.26+0.31vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland-0.23+2.82vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.44-5.41vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.88-4.73vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-0.33-0.93vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia1.34-5.92vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.80-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14Georgetown University3.810.3%1st Place
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5.31U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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5.54Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.07Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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3.81Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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8.39University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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9.49Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.16University of Virginia1.570.0%1st Place
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11.3William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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10.31Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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13.82St. Mary's College of Maryland-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.59University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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8.27George Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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14.07University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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10.08University of Virginia1.340.0%1st Place
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11.65Christopher Newport University0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 26.8% | 21.4% | 16.6% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Brill | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 18.1% | 18.3% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Victor Layne | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 6.7% |
| Paul Hart | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
| Noah Chapman | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 23.1% | 38.5% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mandell | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Stoner | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 25.1% | 40.2% |
| Garrett Levy | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 1.7% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.