← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.81+2.44vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+3.64vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University3.53+1.12vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University1.88+5.08vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University2.82+0.99vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.07vs Predicted
-
7Hampton University3.02-1.44vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania1.87+0.84vs Predicted
-
9University of Virginia1.34+1.58vs Predicted
-
10William and Mary0.87+2.04vs Predicted
-
11Washington College1.26-0.18vs Predicted
-
13University of Pennsylvania2.44-5.86vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University1.51-3.96vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University0.80-2.95vs Predicted
-
16University of Virginia1.57-5.96vs Predicted
-
17University of Maryland-0.37-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.44Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
-
5.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
-
4.12Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
-
9.08George Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
-
5.99Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
-
5.93U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
5.56Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
-
8.84University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
-
10.58University of Virginia1.340.0%1st Place
-
12.04William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
-
10.82Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
-
7.14University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
-
10.04Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
-
12.05Christopher Newport University0.800.0%1st Place
-
10.04University of Virginia1.570.0%1st Place
-
14.69University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 24.1% | 19.2% | 17.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 9.3% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 16.6% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mandell | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Brill | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Garrett Levy | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 4.2% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 18.5% | 11.4% |
| Paul Hart | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 4.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 20.1% | 10.7% |
| Victor Layne | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 14.7% | 61.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.