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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+4.33vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.88+3.84vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.82+2.98vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.81-0.50vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+0.66vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.87+3.06vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.53-2.77vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia1.57+1.82vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.44-1.82vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.51+0.20vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.88-2.06vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.87-0.07vs Predicted
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13Washington College1.26-2.13vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia1.34-3.48vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.80-2.71vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland-0.37-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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5.84U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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5.98Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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3.5Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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5.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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4.23Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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9.82University of Virginia1.570.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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10.2Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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8.94George Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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11.93William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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10.87Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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10.52University of Virginia1.340.0%1st Place
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12.29Christopher Newport University0.800.0%1st Place
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14.64University of Maryland-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Brill | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 21.8% | 19.5% | 17.4% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Andy Reiter | 17.2% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victor Layne | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Samuel Mandell | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 18.3% | 12.1% |
| Paul Hart | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 5.5% |
| Garrett Levy | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 4.0% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 17.2% | 20.7% | 12.4% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 15.3% | 59.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.