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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+2.41vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.53+2.13vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.82+3.07vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.44+3.32vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+0.69vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.07vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia1.57+3.00vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.80+4.05vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.87-0.05vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.26+0.99vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.88-2.11vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.87-0.03vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.51-3.94vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia1.34-4.47vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-0.33-1.44vs Predicted
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17Hampton University3.02-11.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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4.13Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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6.07Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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5.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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5.93U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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10.0University of Virginia1.570.0%1st Place
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12.05Christopher Newport University0.800.0%1st Place
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8.95University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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10.99Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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8.89George Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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11.97William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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10.06Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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10.53University of Virginia1.340.0%1st Place
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14.56University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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5.45Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 24.2% | 19.0% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 19.1% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Lewis Cooper | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Brill | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Victor Layne | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 20.0% | 12.5% |
| Keen Butcher | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Paul Hart | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 4.4% |
| Samuel Mandell | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 18.6% | 12.0% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 2.7% |
| Garrett Levy | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 3.6% |
| Jacob Stoner | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 14.6% | 59.6% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.