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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia1.57+8.77vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.88+6.91vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia1.34+7.65vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.81-0.40vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.53-0.85vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.82+0.04vs Predicted
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7Hampton University3.02-1.46vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-2.44vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.80+3.15vs Predicted
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10William and Mary0.87+2.05vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.44-3.81vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland-0.33+2.49vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.87-4.02vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.88-9.30vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.26-4.99vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.51-6.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.77University of Virginia1.570.0%1st Place
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8.91George Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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10.65University of Virginia1.340.0%1st Place
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3.6Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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4.15Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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6.04Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.54Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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5.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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12.15Christopher Newport University0.800.0%1st Place
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12.05William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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7.19University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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14.49University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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8.98University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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5.7U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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11.01Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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10.2Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Layne | 1.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Samuel Mandell | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Garrett Levy | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 3.9% |
| Sean Segerblom | 21.8% | 19.4% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 16.9% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 9.5% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 13.9% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 19.0% | 11.3% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 15.6% | 57.5% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Maxwell Brill | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 5.0% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.