← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.93+3.64vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University2.35+4.46vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania3.12+1.25vs Predicted
-
4Christopher Newport University2.31+2.76vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+2.32vs Predicted
-
6Hampton University2.26+0.91vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University2.45-0.74vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University1.07+2.60vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania1.86-0.91vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.06-2.50vs Predicted
-
11University of Virginia1.63-2.09vs Predicted
-
12University of Virginia0.55+0.21vs Predicted
-
13Washington College0.80-1.48vs Predicted
-
14University of Maryland-0.35+0.12vs Predicted
-
15William and Mary0.37-2.21vs Predicted
-
17Georgetown University2.04-9.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.64Georgetown University2.930.2%1st Place
-
6.46George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
-
4.25University of Pennsylvania3.120.2%1st Place
-
6.76Christopher Newport University2.310.1%1st Place
-
7.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
-
6.91Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
-
6.26Old Dominion University2.450.1%1st Place
-
10.6Old Dominion University1.070.0%1st Place
-
8.09University of Pennsylvania1.860.1%1st Place
-
7.5U. S. Naval Academy2.060.1%1st Place
-
8.91University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
-
12.21University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
-
11.52Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
-
14.12University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
-
12.79William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
-
7.65Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Person | 16.4% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bennett | 8.4% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 18.7% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 6.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Mergenthaler | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Harrison | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 4.5% |
| Tanner Probst | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Sean Linden | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Singh | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Trent Levy | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 17.0% | 18.1% | 15.9% |
| William Sunkler | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 9.7% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 18.4% | 47.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 23.5% | 20.1% |
| Macey McCann | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.