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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.04+6.03vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26+4.34vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.06+4.03vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.45+1.99vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35+1.13vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+0.98vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia1.63+1.48vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.80+2.92vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.93-4.51vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.12-5.96vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.89-3.43vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.07-1.82vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia0.55-1.25vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania0.15-2.23vs Predicted
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16William and Mary0.37-3.64vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland-0.35-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.03Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
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6.34Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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7.03U. S. Naval Academy2.060.1%1st Place
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5.99Old Dominion University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.13George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.98St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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10.92Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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4.49Georgetown University2.930.2%1st Place
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4.04University of Pennsylvania3.120.2%1st Place
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7.57Christopher Newport University1.890.1%1st Place
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10.18Old Dominion University1.070.0%1st Place
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11.75University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
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12.77University of Pennsylvania0.150.0%1st Place
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12.36William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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13.94University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macey McCann | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sean Linden | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Mergenthaler | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bennett | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Singh | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| William Sunkler | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 5.5% |
| Andrew Person | 16.9% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 18.0% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Emily Harrison | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 4.3% |
| Trent Levy | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 10.1% |
| Jenna Weiner | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 19.3% | 20.5% |
| Connor Chapin | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 15.9% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 19.7% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.