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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.89+6.48vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.93+2.46vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.35+3.11vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.04+3.25vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.26+1.40vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.06+1.11vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.45-1.10vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.07+2.07vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-2.14vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.80+1.10vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia1.63-2.61vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania3.12-7.93vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania0.15-0.18vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.55-2.33vs Predicted
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16William and Mary0.37-3.63vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland-0.35-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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4.46Georgetown University2.930.2%1st Place
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6.11George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.25Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
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6.4Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Naval Academy2.060.1%1st Place
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5.9Old Dominion University2.450.1%1st Place
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10.07Old Dominion University1.070.0%1st Place
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6.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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11.1Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Virginia1.630.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Pennsylvania3.120.2%1st Place
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12.82University of Pennsylvania0.150.0%1st Place
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11.67University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
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12.37William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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13.95University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Charney | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Person | 15.5% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bennett | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Macey McCann | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sean Linden | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Mergenthaler | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Harrison | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Jessica Bennett | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| William Sunkler | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 6.5% |
| Alexander Singh | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 19.4% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Weiner | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 21.5% | 21.2% |
| Trent Levy | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 10.4% |
| Connor Chapin | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 19.3% | 15.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 18.2% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.