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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.93+3.39vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.04+5.21vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.26+3.52vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.45+2.06vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.12-0.88vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia1.63+2.63vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+0.05vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.07+2.20vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.35-2.76vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.06-2.77vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.80+0.07vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.37+0.31vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University2.31-6.70vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania0.15-1.26vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.55-3.07vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland-0.35-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39Georgetown University2.930.2%1st Place
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7.21Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
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6.52Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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6.06Old Dominion University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.12University of Pennsylvania3.120.2%1st Place
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8.63University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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7.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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10.2Old Dominion University1.070.0%1st Place
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6.24George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.23U. S. Naval Academy2.060.1%1st Place
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11.07Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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12.31William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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6.3Christopher Newport University2.310.1%1st Place
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12.74University of Pennsylvania0.150.0%1st Place
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11.93University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
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14.01University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Person | 16.5% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macey McCann | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 8.3% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Mergenthaler | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 17.7% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Singh | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Jessica Bennett | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emily Harrison | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
| Andrew Bennett | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sean Linden | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| William Sunkler | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 6.2% |
| Connor Chapin | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 16.3% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Weiner | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 19.0% | 21.2% |
| Trent Levy | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 10.4% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 20.7% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.