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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+5.67vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.04+5.52vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+4.29vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.93+0.82vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.12-0.76vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.45+0.26vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.35-0.43vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.37+4.59vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia1.63-0.06vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.06-2.44vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.07-0.34vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia0.55+0.22vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.86-4.86vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.80-2.54vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University2.31-8.27vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-0.35-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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7.52Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
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7.29St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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4.82Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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4.24University of Pennsylvania3.120.2%1st Place
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6.26Old Dominion University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.57George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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12.59William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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8.94University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Naval Academy2.060.1%1st Place
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10.66Old Dominion University1.070.0%1st Place
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12.22University of Virginia0.550.0%1st Place
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8.14University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
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11.46Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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6.73Christopher Newport University2.310.1%1st Place
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14.33University of Maryland-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 6.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Macey McCann | 5.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Jessica Bennett | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Person | 13.5% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 17.5% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Mergenthaler | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Bennett | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 23.8% | 17.3% |
| Alexander Singh | 4.6% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Sean Linden | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Harrison | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 5.1% |
| Trent Levy | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 18.5% | 15.9% |
| Tanner Probst | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| William Sunkler | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 8.1% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Jones | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 19.9% | 49.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.