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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.56+4.37vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.11+4.61vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.87+4.48vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+2.21vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.07+2.01vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.99+1.16vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.78-2.24vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-3.13vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.56-4.68vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.58+0.37vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.14-2.19vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.72-1.80vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University3.36-7.72vs Predicted
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15Brandeis University0.55-1.61vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.19-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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6.61Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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7.48University of Rhode Island2.870.1%1st Place
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6.21Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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7.16Harvard University2.990.1%1st Place
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4.76Boston College3.780.1%1st Place
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5.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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5.32Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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11.37Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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9.81Northeastern University2.140.0%1st Place
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11.2University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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6.28Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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13.39Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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12.17Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pesch | 12.4% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Bo McClatchy | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hughes | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Emily Billing | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| George Saunders | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Colin Santangelo | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Christian Manchester | 14.7% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 11.6% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tom Charpentier | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 19.1% | 12.7% |
| Bryant Dunn | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 4.6% |
| Thomas Presti | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 20.6% | 17.7% | 9.6% |
| Kyle Carney | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 19.0% | 49.4% |
| Ian Gilchrist | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 24.9% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.