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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+5.05vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.99+4.63vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+4.55vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+4.97vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.23+4.46vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37-0.50vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.49+1.43vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.97+2.29vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.35-3.49vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-2.15vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.20-4.86vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86-1.11vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.21-3.25vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.62-2.70vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.33-9.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.63Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.55Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.46Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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5.5University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.43Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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10.29University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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5.51Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.14Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.89Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.75Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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11.3Salve Regina University1.620.0%1st Place
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5.68Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Emma White | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte List | 6.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% |
| Annie Spence | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 15.9% | 14.3% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 19.8% |
| Catherine Price | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.5% |
| Bridget Lawless | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 26.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.3% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.