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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+5.03vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.49+6.28vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+4.56vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+5.07vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+0.79vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.86+4.64vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.99-0.21vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.20-1.88vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-3.55vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.35-4.34vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.23-1.51vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.02vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.24-3.40vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.97-3.79vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.62-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.28Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.56Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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5.79Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.64Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.79Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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6.12Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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5.45University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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5.66Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.49Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.6Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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10.21University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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11.32Salve Regina University1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 11.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Charlotte List | 5.7% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 17.9% |
| Emma White | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.8% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Claire Havig | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 9.5% |
| Annie Spence | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 13.9% |
| Bridget Lawless | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.