← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.75+6.49vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.20+3.91vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.20+3.01vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.99+2.78vs Predicted
-
5Boston University3.35+0.68vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island3.37-0.46vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+2.04vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.23+1.46vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University1.86+1.65vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.33-4.25vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College2.24-1.63vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont1.97-1.42vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College2.49-4.20vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-6.32vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University1.62-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.49Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
5.91Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
6.01Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
6.78Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
-
5.68Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
5.54University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
-
9.46Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
10.65Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
-
5.75Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
9.37Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
-
10.58University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
-
8.8Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
7.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
11.27Salve Regina University1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Ladd | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.7% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Emma White | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.4% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.1% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 17.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Claire Havig | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% |
| Annie Spence | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 16.9% |
| Charlotte List | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Bridget Lawless | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 16.8% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.