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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.23+7.99vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.35+3.29vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.20+2.94vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+3.46vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.61vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.99+0.75vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.20-1.31vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.37-2.58vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.49-0.61vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.33-4.40vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.24-1.85vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86-1.76vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-4.30vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.97-4.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.99Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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5.29Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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5.94Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.46Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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6.75Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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5.69Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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5.42University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.39Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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5.6Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.15Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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10.24Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.78University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Pleskus | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 12.5% |
| Maia Agerup | 13.2% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.8% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% |
| Emma White | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.4% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Claire Havig | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 13.8% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 24.4% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 9.2% |
| Annie Spence | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.