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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+4.84vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.24+6.87vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.99+3.62vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+3.47vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20+1.05vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.97+4.03vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.49+0.94vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.35-2.51vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-0.14vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.86+0.39vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.23-1.82vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.33-6.41vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-5.62vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.37-8.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.87Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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6.62Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.47Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.05Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.03University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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7.94Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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5.49Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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10.39Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.18Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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5.59Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.28University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.7% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Claire Havig | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% |
| Emma White | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| Annie Spence | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 20.6% |
| Charlotte List | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 14.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 9.7% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 24.9% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 13.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.9% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.