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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+4.87vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.86+7.99vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.97+6.88vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+3.45vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.99+1.69vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.62vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.35-1.70vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.49+0.20vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.23+0.20vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.24-0.79vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.37-5.46vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.20-6.03vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-4.33vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.33-8.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.99Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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7.45Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.69Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.3Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.2Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.2Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.21Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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5.54University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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5.97Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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5.41Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 22.1% |
| Annie Spence | 4.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 21.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Emma White | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% |
| Maia Agerup | 13.3% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte List | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.9% |
| Claire Havig | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 12.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.6% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.