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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+4.44vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+6.50vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.21+6.19vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+2.02vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.65vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+1.51vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.99-0.63vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.86+2.05vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.23+0.18vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.97+0.02vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.20-4.92vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.49-3.74vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.37-7.59vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.35-8.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.19Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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6.02Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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7.51Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.37Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.05Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.18Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.02University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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6.08Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.26Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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5.41University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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5.32Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.5% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% |
| Catherine Price | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 13.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| Emma White | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 24.7% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.0% |
| Annie Spence | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 16.3% | 19.7% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Charlotte List | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.5% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.8% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.