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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.21+8.53vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.97+8.26vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.99+3.86vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+1.83vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.41+4.06vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20+0.22vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.82vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.20-1.74vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-3.41vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75-2.11vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.35-5.20vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.49-3.01vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.23-3.10vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.86-3.24vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-5.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.53Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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10.26University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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6.86Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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5.83Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.06Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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6.22Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.26Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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5.59University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.89Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.8Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.99Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.9Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.76Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catherine Price | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 12.5% |
| Annie Spence | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 16.9% |
| Emma White | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Camille Matile | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.4% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Charlotte List | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 11.5% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 21.6% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.