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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+7.22vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.15+3.14vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.06+2.49vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.40+3.63vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.12+3.64vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.65+0.84vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+0.76vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.72-4.15vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.50-1.78vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.10+1.62vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-2.10vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.76+0.63vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.38-8.14vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.75-4.31vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.10-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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5.14Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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5.49Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.64Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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6.84Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.76University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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3.85Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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7.22Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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11.62Roger Williams University1.100.0%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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12.63University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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4.86Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.69Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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11.5Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greta Farrell | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Ragna Agerup | 20.6% | 18.8% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Emily Gildea | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 19.6% | 21.5% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.8% |
| Helen Field | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 20.6% | 36.8% |
| Christine Klingler | 13.1% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 5.8% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 18.3% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.