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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.65+5.74vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.15+3.16vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+1.57vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.50+3.30vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.06+0.67vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.12+2.64vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+0.78vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+0.32vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.40-1.48vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-1.03vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.75-1.31vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.72-8.02vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.10-1.28vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.76-1.61vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.10-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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5.16Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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4.57Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.3Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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5.67Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.64Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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7.78University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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7.52Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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9.69Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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3.98Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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11.72Roger Williams University1.100.0%1st Place
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12.39University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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11.56Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 8.3% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 11.8% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 14.9% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Talia Toland | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 6.6% |
| Ragna Agerup | 19.0% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Gildea | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 18.5% | 23.6% |
| Helen Field | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 19.4% | 34.6% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 18.3% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.