Race 3B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Greta Farrell 5.3% 5.2% 4.5% 6.4% 5.8% 7.3% 8.2% 6.7% 8.5% 8.0% 10.4% 8.5% 8.1% 4.1% 3.0%
Sophia Reineke 10.8% 13.7% 11.0% 10.7% 11.1% 9.7% 7.4% 8.2% 6.4% 5.2% 2.8% 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Taylor Gavula 7.2% 7.7% 7.5% 8.2% 9.0% 8.1% 9.1% 9.0% 9.3% 7.5% 6.4% 5.0% 4.1% 1.4% 0.5%
Grace Mooradian 3.7% 4.6% 3.8% 6.3% 5.8% 8.4% 6.3% 8.8% 7.0% 8.8% 9.2% 10.6% 8.2% 5.3% 3.2%
Talia Toland 5.2% 5.9% 7.1% 6.0% 5.8% 8.4% 7.5% 7.7% 9.9% 10.4% 8.2% 7.0% 5.3% 4.2% 1.4%
Ragna Agerup 19.5% 18.7% 16.6% 12.3% 9.8% 7.5% 6.5% 4.1% 2.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Audrey Giblin 12.0% 9.0% 10.9% 10.8% 11.4% 10.4% 9.0% 5.7% 6.6% 6.3% 3.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Delaney Bamford 5.4% 5.4% 6.2% 6.7% 6.7% 6.6% 7.0% 9.9% 8.8% 7.7% 9.8% 9.9% 5.1% 3.4% 1.4%
Christine Klingler 15.0% 13.7% 13.6% 11.6% 11.6% 9.3% 8.5% 6.9% 4.3% 2.9% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexandra Maurillo 5.0% 6.2% 6.5% 7.7% 8.1% 6.7% 10.0% 9.8% 9.4% 6.9% 8.4% 6.7% 4.7% 3.0% 0.9%
Kelsey Slack 2.8% 2.4% 3.2% 5.0% 3.9% 5.6% 5.2% 5.7% 6.7% 8.7% 8.7% 11.8% 12.9% 10.1% 7.3%
Helen Field 1.2% 0.6% 1.1% 1.2% 0.8% 1.8% 2.1% 2.8% 2.4% 4.4% 6.0% 7.8% 12.0% 19.6% 36.2%
Christina Nothacker 3.6% 4.3% 3.8% 4.0% 5.2% 4.4% 7.1% 7.2% 8.6% 9.5% 10.9% 10.0% 9.8% 7.4% 4.2%
Emily Gildea 1.7% 1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 2.7% 2.6% 3.1% 4.2% 5.4% 6.2% 6.8% 8.1% 13.6% 21.2% 20.2%
Lucie Ford 1.6% 1.5% 2.5% 1.7% 2.3% 3.2% 3.0% 3.3% 4.4% 6.0% 7.0% 9.4% 13.4% 19.1% 21.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.