← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.06+4.51vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+6.18vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.38+1.52vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.15+1.28vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.40+2.73vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.65+0.81vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.72-3.24vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College1.75+1.76vs Predicted
-
9Boston University2.12-0.48vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-1.05vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.36-3.25vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College2.50-4.47vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University1.10-1.27vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont0.76-1.59vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University1.10-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.51Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
-
8.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
-
4.52Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
-
5.28Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
-
7.73Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
-
6.81Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
3.76Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
-
9.76Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
-
8.52Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
-
8.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
-
7.75University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
-
7.53Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
-
11.73Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
-
12.41University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
-
11.56Roger Williams University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Christine Klingler | 15.8% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 12.5% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Ragna Agerup | 20.5% | 19.2% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 6.5% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 3.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 23.8% |
| Helen Field | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 19.6% | 34.8% |
| Emily Gildea | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 19.3% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.