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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+4.50vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.15+3.18vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.65+3.73vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38+0.63vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+3.38vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.72-2.23vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.40+0.60vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.12+0.59vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.75+0.67vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-1.06vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36-3.23vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.50-4.48vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.10-1.25vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.76-1.59vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.10-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.18Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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6.73Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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4.63Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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3.77Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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7.6Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.59Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.67Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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7.77University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.52Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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11.75Roger Williams University1.100.0%1st Place
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12.41University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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11.53Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.6% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Christine Klingler | 16.3% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 19.4% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 5.4% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Emily Gildea | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 18.5% | 24.2% |
| Helen Field | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 20.0% | 34.9% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 18.6% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.