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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+7.17vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.15+3.18vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+4.69vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.72-0.20vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.38-0.31vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.40+1.62vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.75+2.67vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.06-2.49vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.12-0.46vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-1.03vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.65-4.08vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.10-0.15vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.50-5.49vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.76-1.62vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.10-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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5.18Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.69University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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3.8Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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4.69Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.62Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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9.67Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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5.51Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.54Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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11.85Roger Williams University1.100.0%1st Place
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7.51Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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12.38University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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11.51Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greta Farrell | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 11.9% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 21.2% | 18.0% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 15.3% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Kelsey Slack | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 7.5% |
| Audrey Giblin | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 3.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Emily Gildea | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 18.9% | 23.8% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Helen Field | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 19.6% | 34.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 20.7% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.