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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+2.73vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.40+5.50vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+2.23vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.75+5.71vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.12+3.56vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.06-0.48vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.65-0.23vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+0.37vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.50-1.76vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.10+1.67vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36-3.13vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.38-7.19vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-3.90vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.76-1.60vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.10-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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7.5Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.23Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.71Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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8.56Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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5.52Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.77Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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7.24Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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11.67Roger Williams University1.100.0%1st Place
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7.87University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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4.81Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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12.4University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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11.51Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 22.4% | 19.8% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 5.5% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 12.4% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 7.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Emily Gildea | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 20.2% | 22.7% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 13.2% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 4.5% |
| Helen Field | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 18.9% | 35.2% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 18.5% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.