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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+4.12vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.06+3.25vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+4.45vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.65+2.63vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+3.14vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.50+1.12vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.72-3.31vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.12+0.30vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.40-1.66vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.38-5.45vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.10+0.34vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88+0.09vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.75-3.38vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.10-2.74vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.76-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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5.25Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.45University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.63Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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7.12Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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3.69Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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8.3Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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7.34Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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4.55Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.34Roger Williams University1.100.0%1st Place
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12.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.880.0%1st Place
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9.62Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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11.26Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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12.1University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.9% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Ragna Agerup | 21.5% | 18.6% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Talia Toland | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Christine Klingler | 14.7% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Gildea | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 17.7% |
| Madeline Kaller | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 19.6% | 25.5% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 15.8% |
| Helen Field | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 18.8% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.