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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+4.30vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.65+4.46vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.12+5.21vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.72-0.32vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+3.10vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.50+1.08vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.15-1.86vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.76+4.16vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88+2.90vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.40-2.53vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.38-6.39vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.36-4.26vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.75-3.37vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.10-2.69vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.10-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.46Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.21Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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3.68Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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8.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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7.08Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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5.14Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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12.16University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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11.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.880.0%1st Place
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7.47Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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4.61Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.74University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.63Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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11.31Roger Williams University1.100.0%1st Place
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11.21Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Ragna Agerup | 21.6% | 18.3% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 12.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Helen Field | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 17.8% | 31.2% |
| Madeline Kaller | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 15.6% | 17.9% | 25.0% |
| Talia Toland | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Christine Klingler | 15.1% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 5.4% |
| Emily Gildea | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 20.2% | 16.4% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 18.9% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.