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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+4.07vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.40+5.27vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+4.98vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.50+3.09vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.06+0.49vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.65+0.63vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.10+4.20vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.38-3.45vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.12-0.73vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.36-2.33vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.75-1.52vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.76+0.37vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-0.97vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.72-10.32vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.10-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.27Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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7.09Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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5.49Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.63Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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11.2Roger Williams University1.100.0%1st Place
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4.55Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.27Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.48Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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12.37University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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12.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.880.0%1st Place
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3.68Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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11.22Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 12.9% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Greta Farrell | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Audrey Giblin | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Emily Gildea | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 15.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 14.7% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Kelsey Slack | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 5.2% |
| Helen Field | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 18.7% | 30.8% |
| Madeline Kaller | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 20.4% | 26.5% |
| Ragna Agerup | 21.1% | 20.6% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.